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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+2.76vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.68+0.15vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-0.01vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+1.21vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.28+2.52vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36+1.66vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27+0.31vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.03-1.11vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.09-4.24vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.76-1.73vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-2.51-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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2.15Northeastern University1.680.4%1st Place
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2.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.2%1st Place
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5.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.090.1%1st Place
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7.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.280.0%1st Place
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7.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.31University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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6.89University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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4.76University of Rhode Island0.090.1%1st Place
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8.27Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
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9.48Fairfield University-2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 11.9% | 16.5% | 21.1% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 41.6% | 26.1% | 17.0% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 20.9% | 24.3% | 19.5% | 17.0% | 10.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Seth Pardi | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 16.5% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Meghan Berg | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 9.3% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 18.7% | 14.3% | 11.2% |
| Andy Giaya | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 8.2% |
| Will Rudaz | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 4.3% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Evelyn Lane | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 21.3% | 18.5% |
| Samantha Gulachenski | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 18.4% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.