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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.68+1.18vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+0.91vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+0.84vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.03+3.14vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.28+2.45vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.09-1.25vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-2.11vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-2.51+1.53vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-1.51vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36-2.44vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.76-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18Northeastern University1.680.4%1st Place
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2.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.2%1st Place
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3.84Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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7.14University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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7.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.280.0%1st Place
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4.75University of Rhode Island0.090.1%1st Place
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4.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.090.1%1st Place
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9.53Fairfield University-2.510.0%1st Place
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7.49University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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7.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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8.25Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 38.3% | 27.7% | 18.9% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 23.2% | 23.9% | 20.7% | 15.0% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 12.6% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 19.1% | 15.3% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Rudaz | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 5.1% |
| Meghan Berg | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 9.4% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Seth Pardi | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Samantha Gulachenski | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 50.2% |
| Andy Giaya | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 8.9% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 19.1% | 8.3% |
| Evelyn Lane | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 21.8% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.