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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine3.43+4.69vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.48+3.68vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.54+11.65vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.90+4.00vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.99+7.44vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.25+4.97vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii3.68-1.90vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University2.22+3.17vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon2.51-0.44vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.31+4.71vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii3.04-4.56vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis1.68+1.13vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles2.63-4.77vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California2.64-5.89vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego1.56-2.85vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University1.62-4.02vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego1.57-4.49vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay1.64-5.86vs Predicted
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21University of Washington0.87-3.86vs Predicted
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22University of Oregon-0.09-0.69vs Predicted
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23Western Washington University1.02-5.53vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles1.83-11.29vs Predicted
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25University of Puget Sound0.55-6.01vs Predicted
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27University of Texas0.71-8.68vs Predicted
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28Purdue University-1.06-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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5.68University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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14.65University of California at Berkeley1.540.0%1st Place
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8.0Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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12.44University of California at Santa Barbara1.990.0%1st Place
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10.97California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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5.1University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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11.17Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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9.56University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
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15.71University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.0%1st Place
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7.44University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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14.13University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
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9.23University of California at Los Angeles2.630.0%1st Place
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9.11University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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14.15University of California at San Diego1.560.0%1st Place
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13.98Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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14.51University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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14.14California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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17.14University of Washington0.870.0%1st Place
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21.31University of Oregon-0.090.0%1st Place
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17.47Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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12.71University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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18.99University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
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18.32University of Texas0.710.0%1st Place
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23.4Purdue University-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rex Cameron | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| SEAN Ross | 11.7% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Kew | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Logan Swartz | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 15.0% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Beavers | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Lee | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Sharp | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Ashley Vincent | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Haney | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Stewart | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 3.2% |
| Marissa Paulling | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 27.4% | 19.8% |
| Alex Waldron | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 2.7% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John Elam | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 5.9% |
| Hazel Mahony | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 9.8% | 4.2% |
| Nick Heymer | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 14.9% | 61.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.