Race 8A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Wyatt Tait 10.3% 8.9% 10.8% 10.3% 9.8% 9.5% 8.2% 7.5% 8.9% 6.0% 5.5% 3.2% 0.9%
Juan Casal 13.7% 13.9% 12.7% 11.8% 10.7% 8.9% 8.2% 6.3% 5.6% 4.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4%
Mary Castellini 10.2% 9.2% 8.0% 9.8% 9.3% 9.6% 9.2% 8.8% 7.3% 7.8% 6.1% 3.4% 1.5%
Nicholas Chesemore 10.2% 9.4% 9.8% 9.2% 10.2% 9.3% 10.2% 8.5% 7.0% 6.9% 4.7% 3.5% 1.1%
Charlie Herrick 13.6% 12.9% 12.4% 11.7% 10.5% 9.7% 7.5% 6.8% 6.4% 4.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.4%
Alden Gort 6.2% 6.8% 7.5% 8.2% 7.0% 8.2% 8.5% 8.5% 9.6% 8.6% 9.7% 7.8% 3.4%
Cole Broberg 6.6% 6.3% 6.6% 6.5% 8.2% 9.0% 8.5% 9.7% 8.8% 9.2% 8.9% 7.6% 4.2%
Rakesh Dhiman 4.9% 5.7% 5.7% 5.5% 5.8% 6.0% 6.6% 7.9% 9.5% 11.2% 12.0% 11.5% 7.8%
Benjamin Karle 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 2.3% 2.5% 3.0% 3.1% 5.0% 5.8% 5.7% 9.4% 15.3% 42.2%
Hayden Johansen 3.5% 4.2% 4.2% 4.7% 5.3% 5.3% 6.4% 8.4% 8.6% 9.3% 11.6% 14.9% 13.5%
Sam Childers 11.7% 10.9% 11.7% 9.2% 10.8% 9.3% 9.2% 8.2% 6.6% 5.7% 4.2% 1.8% 0.7%
Marco Constantini 4.5% 4.8% 4.2% 6.0% 4.8% 6.2% 7.0% 7.4% 8.6% 10.9% 12.7% 13.1% 10.0%
Caroline Henry 3.0% 5.1% 4.5% 4.7% 5.1% 5.6% 7.4% 7.3% 7.5% 10.0% 10.6% 15.2% 13.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.