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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.16+0.43vs Predicted
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2Duke University-0.18+0.41vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96+0.18vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.00+1.26vs Predicted
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5University of Georgia-2.19-0.37vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43College of Charleston1.160.7%1st Place
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2.41Duke University-0.180.2%1st Place
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3.18Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.1%1st Place
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5.26University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.000.0%1st Place
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4.63University of Georgia-2.190.0%1st Place
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4.08University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christofor Tella | 66.5% | 25.2% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 19.1% | 39.9% | 24.8% | 13.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Tan Tonge | 8.3% | 19.1% | 33.7% | 25.9% | 10.9% | 2.1% |
| Christine Moore | 0.6% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 21.4% | 59.0% |
| Jake Tipper | 1.9% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 19.4% | 36.0% | 26.9% |
| Nevin Williams | 3.6% | 7.2% | 18.9% | 29.5% | 29.2% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.