Race 9A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mary Castellini 8.4% 8.3% 9.3% 8.8% 10.3% 7.7% 8.8% 7.8% 8.5% 8.3% 5.8% 5.2% 2.6%
Charlie Herrick 12.7% 10.6% 10.8% 9.7% 12.0% 9.3% 8.9% 7.5% 6.8% 5.5% 3.9% 1.8% 0.7%
Nicholas Chesemore 7.8% 9.9% 8.8% 8.6% 8.6% 9.6% 7.7% 8.6% 9.2% 7.5% 6.2% 5.5% 2.1%
Eric Brieden 14.8% 14.6% 13.0% 11.8% 10.8% 10.0% 7.4% 6.7% 5.3% 3.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.3%
Jack Rutherford 2.2% 2.5% 2.4% 3.2% 3.5% 4.1% 4.0% 5.3% 5.9% 7.3% 11.8% 16.7% 31.1%
Juan Casal 10.3% 11.5% 12.0% 10.6% 10.5% 9.9% 10.2% 7.5% 6.1% 5.2% 3.1% 2.4% 0.6%
Cole Broberg 6.1% 5.4% 5.7% 6.9% 6.8% 8.0% 8.0% 8.3% 8.7% 10.4% 10.6% 8.9% 6.3%
Wyatt Tait 9.3% 9.1% 9.9% 9.8% 8.8% 8.6% 8.8% 7.5% 8.6% 7.1% 5.8% 4.3% 2.5%
Alden Gort 5.9% 7.1% 5.9% 6.3% 6.4% 7.3% 7.8% 8.2% 9.4% 10.2% 11.1% 8.5% 6.0%
Marco Constantini 4.0% 3.8% 3.9% 5.7% 4.7% 5.8% 6.2% 7.4% 7.4% 8.6% 11.9% 14.2% 16.4%
Rakesh Dhiman 4.8% 3.9% 4.4% 4.2% 5.3% 6.2% 7.3% 8.7% 8.7% 10.6% 11.2% 12.6% 12.0%
Hayden Johansen 3.7% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 3.5% 4.5% 5.7% 7.6% 7.2% 10.1% 11.7% 15.8% 18.1%
Sam Childers 10.1% 10.2% 10.0% 9.5% 9.0% 8.9% 9.2% 8.8% 8.3% 6.0% 5.2% 3.5% 1.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.