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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.16+0.46vs Predicted
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2Duke University-0.18+0.52vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96+0.37vs Predicted
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4University of Georgia-2.19+0.82vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.81-0.54vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46College of Charleston1.160.7%1st Place
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2.52Duke University-0.180.2%1st Place
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3.37Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Georgia-2.190.0%1st Place
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4.46University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.810.0%1st Place
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4.36University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christofor Tella | 65.7% | 25.0% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 18.8% | 36.4% | 25.4% | 13.6% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Tan Tonge | 8.1% | 18.0% | 29.0% | 24.1% | 15.5% | 5.3% |
| Jake Tipper | 1.5% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 16.4% | 25.2% | 41.5% |
| Drew Davey | 2.3% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 23.1% | 26.0% | 27.9% |
| Nevin Williams | 3.6% | 6.5% | 16.4% | 20.9% | 28.5% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.