Race 2A

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Elliott Mendenhall 4.6% 4.6% 7.0% 7.0% 7.7% 6.3% 8.0% 8.2% 8.5% 9.4% 10.4% 8.6% 8.2% 1.5%
John (Jack) Plavan 20.0% 16.2% 14.9% 13.5% 8.6% 10.4% 5.7% 3.6% 2.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Zachary Champney 7.6% 9.2% 8.4% 9.1% 7.8% 9.9% 8.8% 8.9% 8.4% 7.6% 6.2% 5.3% 2.6% 0.2%
Adrien Bellanger 5.8% 6.8% 8.1% 6.8% 8.3% 8.6% 8.6% 8.5% 7.9% 8.3% 8.4% 8.0% 5.3% 0.6%
Adrian van der Wal 12.9% 15.3% 13.1% 13.6% 9.5% 9.5% 7.8% 5.7% 5.4% 3.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Nathan Selian 5.4% 5.5% 5.5% 7.0% 7.0% 7.2% 8.1% 9.8% 7.0% 10.1% 9.6% 9.7% 7.3% 0.8%
Matthew Elliott 13.2% 12.8% 12.6% 9.7% 10.4% 8.2% 10.0% 6.7% 6.2% 4.3% 2.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Benjamin Stevens 7.6% 8.7% 8.5% 8.3% 8.2% 9.6% 7.5% 7.4% 7.9% 8.0% 7.3% 6.2% 4.2% 0.6%
Pearl Lattanzi 5.4% 3.3% 4.5% 5.3% 6.8% 5.5% 7.6% 8.4% 11.0% 8.8% 10.6% 11.8% 10.0% 1.0%
Paul Kuechler 2.8% 2.6% 1.9% 2.4% 5.5% 4.0% 5.0% 6.6% 7.7% 8.3% 8.8% 15.2% 23.7% 5.5%
Meghan Haviland 4.4% 4.8% 5.0% 5.7% 7.3% 6.8% 7.1% 7.3% 8.3% 10.6% 11.9% 8.8% 10.7% 1.3%
Wilson Kaznoski 4.0% 4.0% 4.1% 4.9% 5.7% 7.1% 6.8% 8.7% 9.5% 8.7% 10.3% 10.0% 14.3% 1.9%
Calvin Lamosse 6.1% 6.0% 6.0% 6.5% 6.8% 6.6% 8.5% 9.6% 9.2% 8.4% 9.2% 9.8% 6.2% 1.1%
Evelyn Lane 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 1.3% 1.6% 2.6% 5.7% 85.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.