Race 4A

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Adrian van der Wal 16.5% 14.9% 13.8% 11.4% 10.3% 8.7% 7.2% 5.2% 4.4% 3.8% 1.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Adrien Bellanger 6.6% 8.6% 6.9% 8.2% 7.4% 7.9% 8.0% 9.8% 9.3% 8.7% 8.3% 5.6% 4.5% 0.2%
John (Jack) Plavan 20.3% 15.2% 14.9% 11.4% 10.9% 7.1% 7.3% 5.5% 3.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Elliott Mendenhall 3.5% 6.0% 6.0% 6.4% 6.6% 8.1% 8.3% 7.7% 6.8% 8.9% 10.8% 11.0% 8.1% 1.8%
Matthew Elliott 9.4% 10.9% 12.6% 10.2% 11.4% 10.0% 9.0% 7.3% 6.2% 6.0% 3.7% 1.9% 1.3% 0.1%
Benjamin Stevens 6.7% 7.8% 8.0% 7.3% 8.6% 9.9% 7.5% 8.9% 8.9% 8.2% 6.5% 6.6% 4.0% 1.1%
Meghan Haviland 5.2% 6.1% 6.1% 6.5% 5.7% 7.2% 7.0% 7.5% 9.1% 9.4% 10.1% 10.0% 9.0% 1.1%
Pearl Lattanzi 5.3% 5.1% 6.0% 5.5% 6.2% 5.5% 7.2% 7.3% 8.9% 8.8% 9.1% 11.8% 11.4% 1.9%
Nathan Selian 6.0% 4.5% 6.0% 6.1% 7.3% 7.4% 8.4% 9.9% 8.9% 9.6% 8.9% 8.9% 7.0% 1.1%
Zachary Champney 7.6% 8.0% 7.6% 10.0% 8.2% 10.0% 8.8% 9.1% 8.6% 7.6% 6.3% 4.8% 3.1% 0.3%
Wilson Kaznoski 4.5% 3.8% 3.5% 6.0% 6.0% 6.8% 6.9% 6.5% 9.5% 7.5% 11.2% 12.4% 13.8% 1.6%
Paul Kuechler 2.5% 2.6% 3.5% 3.5% 4.3% 3.5% 5.2% 6.4% 6.1% 9.3% 11.1% 14.7% 23.5% 3.8%
Calvin Lamosse 5.7% 6.3% 4.7% 7.1% 6.8% 7.5% 8.5% 8.6% 8.8% 9.3% 9.6% 8.2% 7.9% 1.0%
Evelyn Lane 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 0.3% 1.0% 0.7% 1.9% 1.9% 5.7% 85.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.