Race 10A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mary Castellini 8.6% 9.1% 9.4% 10.1% 7.4% 9.6% 8.3% 8.6% 8.8% 7.5% 6.5% 4.2% 1.8%
Eric Brieden 15.6% 14.8% 14.5% 12.7% 10.3% 9.0% 6.8% 6.1% 4.3% 3.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.4%
Sam Childers 8.6% 9.4% 10.2% 8.8% 10.2% 9.8% 9.4% 8.6% 8.4% 7.0% 5.0% 3.5% 1.1%
Cole Broberg 6.1% 6.3% 6.2% 5.3% 7.0% 7.0% 7.5% 8.8% 9.1% 10.9% 10.9% 8.6% 6.3%
Charlie Herrick 10.7% 11.8% 10.8% 11.7% 10.9% 9.0% 8.8% 7.2% 6.2% 5.8% 3.6% 2.5% 0.9%
Wyatt Tait 9.8% 9.7% 8.1% 8.7% 9.3% 10.2% 8.5% 7.5% 8.2% 7.5% 5.7% 4.7% 2.1%
Alden Gort 5.8% 6.0% 5.7% 5.9% 7.2% 6.9% 8.5% 8.9% 9.6% 9.4% 10.9% 8.9% 6.2%
Juan Casal 12.4% 10.3% 11.0% 10.8% 10.7% 10.2% 9.2% 8.0% 6.6% 5.0% 3.7% 1.8% 0.4%
Nicholas Chesemore 8.9% 9.1% 9.4% 8.1% 8.9% 8.5% 9.9% 9.2% 7.2% 7.8% 6.7% 4.3% 1.8%
Marco Constantini 3.3% 3.9% 3.9% 4.2% 5.3% 5.9% 6.6% 8.0% 9.7% 9.0% 11.8% 14.0% 14.7%
Hayden Johansen 3.8% 3.6% 4.0% 3.9% 4.2% 4.7% 5.8% 6.3% 8.1% 9.8% 12.0% 16.2% 17.8%
Rakesh Dhiman 4.1% 4.0% 4.5% 6.1% 5.7% 5.5% 6.3% 7.4% 7.6% 10.2% 11.7% 14.7% 12.3%
Jack Rutherford 2.2% 2.1% 2.5% 4.0% 2.9% 4.0% 4.3% 5.3% 6.2% 6.7% 10.1% 15.8% 34.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.