Race 5A

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Elliott Mendenhall 5.3% 4.0% 6.7% 7.3% 6.7% 7.4% 7.8% 8.5% 8.8% 9.6% 7.9% 10.0% 8.5% 1.5%
John (Jack) Plavan 19.9% 17.0% 13.5% 12.5% 11.0% 8.3% 6.9% 3.5% 3.2% 2.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Adrien Bellanger 7.0% 7.0% 6.9% 7.8% 6.0% 8.4% 8.1% 8.3% 10.4% 8.8% 7.8% 7.8% 5.2% 0.5%
Meghan Haviland 3.9% 5.2% 5.3% 6.5% 6.5% 6.0% 7.5% 8.5% 8.8% 9.9% 9.0% 10.8% 11.0% 1.1%
Nathan Selian 4.3% 6.4% 5.7% 7.2% 8.7% 7.2% 7.3% 8.2% 8.6% 9.5% 9.0% 9.1% 8.3% 0.5%
Adrian van der Wal 14.0% 16.1% 13.3% 10.6% 11.3% 8.8% 7.8% 5.1% 4.5% 4.2% 2.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Matthew Elliott 13.0% 12.1% 12.4% 10.6% 9.0% 10.8% 8.5% 7.1% 5.8% 4.5% 3.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Paul Kuechler 3.0% 3.4% 3.8% 4.4% 4.0% 3.4% 4.5% 7.3% 6.3% 7.5% 10.4% 13.9% 22.3% 5.8%
Calvin Lamosse 5.5% 4.7% 5.9% 6.3% 5.6% 7.5% 8.6% 9.2% 9.5% 8.6% 11.6% 8.6% 7.5% 0.9%
Pearl Lattanzi 4.6% 3.8% 4.6% 4.8% 8.1% 6.4% 6.1% 9.7% 7.9% 10.3% 9.8% 11.7% 10.4% 1.8%
Wilson Kaznoski 3.5% 4.3% 3.8% 6.0% 5.4% 6.4% 7.4% 6.9% 8.1% 9.9% 11.4% 11.4% 14.1% 1.4%
Zachary Champney 7.8% 7.5% 9.8% 8.7% 9.6% 8.9% 8.6% 8.9% 8.4% 6.8% 6.8% 4.7% 3.0% 0.5%
Benjamin Stevens 8.0% 8.2% 8.0% 7.1% 7.7% 10.3% 10.3% 8.2% 9.0% 7.2% 7.0% 5.3% 3.4% 0.3%
Evelyn Lane 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 1.9% 3.0% 5.1% 85.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.