Race 6A

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Adrian van der Wal 16.1% 15.4% 13.4% 11.9% 9.5% 9.6% 6.3% 5.5% 5.4% 3.3% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Zachary Champney 8.7% 10.0% 9.5% 8.6% 7.9% 9.3% 8.4% 10.0% 7.9% 8.2% 4.6% 3.9% 2.9% 0.1%
Pearl Lattanzi 5.4% 3.9% 6.0% 5.8% 5.9% 6.4% 5.6% 7.3% 8.8% 11.9% 10.4% 10.9% 10.3% 1.4%
Adrien Bellanger 5.4% 6.5% 7.5% 7.7% 9.1% 7.8% 8.5% 8.8% 9.6% 6.7% 9.1% 7.0% 5.9% 0.4%
Elliott Mendenhall 3.8% 5.6% 5.2% 6.3% 6.9% 7.3% 8.7% 7.3% 8.1% 8.1% 10.0% 12.5% 9.1% 1.1%
Meghan Haviland 4.9% 4.4% 3.9% 4.9% 7.3% 6.7% 6.8% 8.5% 9.2% 9.6% 10.3% 11.3% 10.6% 1.6%
Benjamin Stevens 8.9% 9.1% 7.7% 8.8% 8.7% 8.5% 9.1% 8.0% 8.1% 7.4% 7.9% 4.9% 2.4% 0.5%
Wilson Kaznoski 4.6% 4.7% 5.1% 5.8% 5.3% 6.1% 6.9% 6.7% 8.6% 8.6% 10.1% 10.7% 14.2% 2.6%
Calvin Lamosse 5.6% 4.7% 4.7% 7.0% 6.4% 7.8% 9.6% 8.9% 8.5% 9.8% 9.4% 8.6% 7.6% 1.4%
Matthew Elliott 11.2% 10.6% 11.6% 11.0% 10.3% 9.4% 9.7% 7.7% 6.6% 6.1% 3.2% 1.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Paul Kuechler 2.2% 2.8% 3.1% 2.9% 4.7% 4.4% 5.1% 7.1% 5.6% 8.6% 10.4% 15.6% 22.4% 5.1%
John (Jack) Plavan 17.0% 15.5% 16.1% 12.5% 11.2% 7.5% 6.4% 4.6% 4.0% 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Nathan Selian 6.0% 6.4% 6.0% 6.4% 6.6% 8.7% 8.5% 8.9% 8.9% 8.7% 9.1% 8.1% 6.9% 0.8%
Evelyn Lane 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 1.0% 1.7% 2.8% 5.9% 84.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.