Race 7A

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Calvin Lamosse 5.0% 5.2% 7.1% 7.3% 7.8% 8.0% 5.9% 8.9% 9.3% 8.5% 9.9% 9.1% 6.6% 1.4%
Benjamin Stevens 7.5% 9.3% 8.7% 7.0% 8.8% 9.1% 9.9% 8.3% 8.7% 9.1% 4.9% 4.8% 3.7% 0.2%
Adrian van der Wal 16.7% 14.7% 12.1% 12.1% 9.8% 9.4% 7.8% 6.0% 4.6% 3.6% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
John (Jack) Plavan 17.0% 18.1% 13.5% 13.8% 10.6% 7.5% 7.4% 4.3% 3.9% 1.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Nathan Selian 4.3% 5.6% 6.3% 7.9% 6.3% 8.3% 7.3% 9.6% 7.3% 9.1% 9.4% 9.8% 8.0% 0.8%
Elliott Mendenhall 4.9% 4.9% 4.8% 5.0% 7.5% 7.9% 7.3% 7.2% 9.7% 9.9% 9.1% 10.5% 9.5% 1.8%
Matthew Elliott 13.2% 12.8% 12.1% 10.6% 8.9% 9.3% 8.7% 7.6% 6.9% 3.4% 3.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.3%
Adrien Bellanger 7.0% 6.6% 8.2% 7.1% 8.2% 7.3% 9.1% 9.0% 7.3% 7.1% 8.6% 7.2% 6.7% 0.6%
Pearl Lattanzi 5.4% 3.7% 5.0% 6.1% 4.7% 5.9% 7.6% 8.6% 9.0% 9.1% 11.6% 12.4% 9.7% 1.2%
Zachary Champney 7.3% 7.6% 8.2% 10.2% 9.2% 9.1% 8.4% 8.6% 7.6% 9.6% 6.9% 4.7% 2.3% 0.3%
Meghan Haviland 4.7% 4.4% 4.9% 5.0% 7.7% 6.7% 7.4% 7.3% 9.3% 9.4% 10.5% 11.7% 9.7% 1.3%
Wilson Kaznoski 3.6% 4.3% 4.5% 4.7% 6.6% 6.6% 7.0% 7.7% 9.3% 9.4% 9.3% 11.3% 13.7% 2.0%
Paul Kuechler 3.2% 2.5% 4.2% 2.9% 3.8% 4.3% 5.5% 6.2% 6.6% 9.0% 11.6% 12.1% 24.3% 3.8%
Evelyn Lane 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 1.1% 1.3% 2.7% 4.8% 86.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.