Race 9A

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Elliott Mendenhall 5.1% 4.5% 6.4% 6.5% 8.0% 6.8% 7.7% 8.2% 9.1% 9.3% 8.8% 9.8% 8.3% 1.5%
Zachary Champney 8.4% 10.2% 8.4% 9.2% 8.6% 9.5% 8.8% 9.8% 7.2% 7.3% 6.1% 3.5% 3.0% 0.0%
John (Jack) Plavan 19.8% 16.8% 14.0% 11.1% 9.9% 9.0% 6.7% 5.4% 3.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Nathan Selian 4.1% 6.1% 6.9% 6.6% 7.7% 7.9% 8.1% 6.9% 8.3% 9.1% 10.3% 10.1% 6.5% 1.4%
Adrian van der Wal 13.6% 14.2% 14.0% 13.6% 10.4% 7.9% 7.5% 6.4% 5.1% 4.3% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Matthew Elliott 11.3% 10.4% 12.0% 10.3% 10.1% 9.3% 9.0% 8.6% 5.6% 4.7% 4.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Meghan Haviland 5.0% 6.4% 6.4% 5.9% 5.7% 7.4% 6.5% 7.7% 9.2% 9.5% 9.6% 9.7% 9.9% 1.1%
Wilson Kaznoski 5.0% 4.6% 4.8% 5.8% 4.7% 6.4% 6.9% 6.6% 8.3% 9.1% 9.4% 13.0% 12.7% 2.7%
Calvin Lamosse 5.8% 4.7% 5.8% 6.1% 6.1% 8.0% 8.7% 8.3% 9.5% 9.0% 10.2% 8.8% 7.9% 1.1%
Benjamin Stevens 7.0% 7.4% 7.0% 8.2% 9.5% 8.8% 9.0% 8.2% 9.0% 7.4% 8.0% 6.3% 3.9% 0.3%
Adrien Bellanger 7.2% 5.8% 6.7% 7.6% 8.5% 8.3% 7.8% 8.9% 9.6% 8.5% 7.4% 6.6% 6.4% 0.7%
Paul Kuechler 2.6% 3.2% 3.1% 2.8% 4.1% 3.9% 5.6% 6.0% 6.3% 9.2% 11.4% 13.4% 24.4% 4.0%
Pearl Lattanzi 4.9% 5.5% 4.2% 5.9% 6.3% 6.7% 6.8% 8.3% 9.3% 9.0% 10.2% 11.6% 9.7% 1.6%
Evelyn Lane 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 3.0% 5.4% 85.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.