Race 11A

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Adrian van der Wal 16.1% 17.2% 16.1% 10.7% 10.0% 7.8% 6.5% 5.6% 3.5% 3.8% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
John (Jack) Plavan 20.9% 18.1% 13.6% 13.2% 11.5% 7.7% 5.9% 3.3% 2.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Calvin Lamosse 6.1% 5.9% 7.3% 7.2% 7.3% 6.1% 7.6% 10.2% 9.5% 8.7% 9.3% 8.4% 5.9% 0.5%
Zachary Champney 7.2% 10.0% 9.0% 9.6% 9.4% 10.8% 8.2% 8.9% 7.7% 7.3% 5.6% 4.0% 1.9% 0.4%
Elliott Mendenhall 4.6% 5.6% 5.5% 7.8% 6.3% 8.1% 9.2% 7.3% 9.7% 7.6% 9.9% 9.8% 7.8% 0.8%
Wilson Kaznoski 4.5% 3.8% 4.5% 5.9% 5.7% 8.2% 6.9% 7.8% 9.9% 9.4% 10.6% 10.4% 10.7% 1.7%
Nathan Selian 6.8% 7.2% 7.1% 7.4% 9.3% 7.2% 9.9% 7.8% 8.4% 9.1% 8.8% 6.3% 4.2% 0.5%
Meghan Haviland 5.6% 5.2% 6.9% 6.3% 6.2% 7.4% 7.5% 9.4% 6.8% 9.7% 9.2% 10.0% 8.4% 1.4%
Adrien Bellanger 6.9% 6.2% 6.5% 8.9% 8.6% 8.6% 10.7% 8.6% 8.7% 8.7% 6.9% 6.0% 4.2% 0.5%
Paul Kuechler 2.9% 2.7% 2.6% 3.4% 3.9% 6.1% 5.6% 7.1% 7.4% 9.3% 10.0% 14.4% 20.0% 4.6%
Lucy Brock 11.1% 9.3% 11.6% 10.6% 10.5% 9.1% 8.7% 7.3% 7.3% 5.4% 5.0% 2.7% 1.4% 0.0%
Preston Anderson 2.5% 2.7% 2.5% 4.4% 3.8% 4.1% 5.5% 7.0% 7.6% 9.1% 11.6% 13.6% 20.8% 4.8%
Pearl Lattanzi 4.6% 5.9% 6.2% 4.4% 7.3% 8.3% 7.0% 9.4% 9.9% 8.6% 9.5% 9.8% 7.6% 1.5%
Evelyn Lane 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.1% 3.5% 6.6% 83.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.