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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Wilson Kaznoski 4.5% 4.1% 5.9% 6.2% 7.5% 5.4% 8.0% 7.1% 10.7% 10.1% 9.3% 10.6% 9.1% 1.5%
Adrian van der Wal 17.9% 16.3% 13.8% 11.9% 10.6% 9.6% 6.9% 4.5% 4.0% 1.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Meghan Haviland 5.2% 4.9% 6.6% 6.2% 7.1% 6.6% 7.2% 8.3% 8.8% 10.8% 9.1% 10.2% 7.5% 1.5%
Calvin Lamosse 5.5% 5.3% 7.1% 7.5% 7.9% 6.7% 9.0% 9.7% 8.2% 8.4% 9.2% 6.5% 8.0% 1.0%
Elliott Mendenhall 4.2% 5.8% 5.8% 7.5% 7.9% 7.1% 8.1% 8.4% 9.2% 7.6% 10.6% 9.0% 8.2% 0.6%
Nathan Selian 6.4% 6.0% 4.6% 6.6% 7.6% 10.0% 8.4% 9.5% 9.1% 8.0% 8.0% 9.1% 5.6% 1.1%
Adrien Bellanger 6.9% 9.4% 8.6% 8.1% 6.7% 9.5% 9.6% 9.0% 8.6% 8.5% 6.1% 5.5% 2.9% 0.6%
John (Jack) Plavan 20.0% 19.1% 14.7% 9.9% 10.4% 7.7% 6.2% 5.6% 3.1% 1.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Preston Anderson 3.7% 2.6% 1.9% 3.1% 4.6% 4.6% 4.7% 5.1% 7.3% 10.2% 12.6% 13.7% 21.3% 4.6%
Lucy Brock 8.7% 9.9% 11.7% 12.9% 10.2% 9.9% 6.9% 8.4% 7.7% 5.9% 4.2% 2.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Zachary Champney 9.0% 7.8% 10.2% 10.1% 8.4% 9.3% 9.1% 9.5% 7.0% 6.1% 6.6% 4.2% 2.4% 0.3%
Pearl Lattanzi 4.5% 4.9% 5.3% 6.1% 6.3% 8.2% 9.2% 9.0% 8.7% 8.4% 8.6% 11.2% 8.2% 1.4%
Paul Kuechler 3.3% 3.7% 3.2% 3.7% 4.6% 5.0% 5.9% 5.4% 7.0% 11.1% 10.5% 14.3% 18.8% 3.5%
Evelyn Lane 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.6% 1.8% 1.9% 2.3% 6.4% 83.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.