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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University1.06+7.04vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.36+2.20vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.18+4.80vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.32+3.43vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.25+2.68vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.36+1.39vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.51-0.45vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.54-4.09vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.57+0.63vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-4.40vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.73-4.84vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.16-4.11vs Predicted
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13Harvard University0.65-3.73vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.76-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.04Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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4.2Northeastern University2.360.2%1st Place
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7.8University of Rhode Island1.180.1%1st Place
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7.43University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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7.68Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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7.39Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.55Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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3.91Boston College2.540.2%1st Place
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9.63Bowdoin College0.570.0%1st Place
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5.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.16University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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7.89Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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9.27Harvard University0.650.0%1st Place
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13.46Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilson Kaznoski | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 1.5% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 17.9% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Haviland | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 1.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 1.0% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Selian | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| John (Jack) Plavan | 20.0% | 19.1% | 14.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Preston Anderson | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 21.3% | 4.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 9.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 1.4% |
| Paul Kuechler | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 18.8% | 3.5% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 6.4% | 83.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.