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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.36+3.31vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.54+1.80vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+2.52vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.32+3.37vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.25+2.71vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.73+0.24vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.360.00vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.51-1.25vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.16-1.02vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University1.06-1.76vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.57-1.35vs Predicted
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12Harvard University0.65-2.59vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.76+0.39vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.18-6.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31Northeastern University2.360.2%1st Place
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3.8Boston College2.540.2%1st Place
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5.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.37University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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7.71Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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6.24University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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7.0Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.75Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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7.98Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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8.24Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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9.65Bowdoin College0.570.0%1st Place
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9.41Harvard University0.650.0%1st Place
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13.39Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
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7.62University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian van der Wal | 16.8% | 17.5% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John (Jack) Plavan | 20.2% | 18.9% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 0.7% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 1.1% |
| Zachary Champney | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 0.4% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 5.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 1.6% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 1.1% |
| Preston Anderson | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 15.8% | 21.8% | 4.5% |
| Paul Kuechler | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 18.1% | 5.4% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 7.1% | 82.9% |
| Meghan Haviland | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.