Race 11A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mary Castellini 9.7% 9.3% 10.1% 10.1% 10.9% 9.4% 9.3% 8.1% 7.5% 6.6% 4.5% 3.1% 1.4%
Charlie Herrick 13.9% 12.7% 10.8% 11.3% 11.0% 10.3% 8.7% 7.2% 5.1% 4.2% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4%
Wyatt Tait 9.5% 11.3% 10.0% 10.1% 8.8% 8.6% 9.9% 8.3% 8.1% 5.8% 5.9% 2.7% 1.1%
Sam Childers 11.4% 10.2% 11.1% 10.2% 10.3% 10.0% 8.2% 8.7% 7.5% 5.7% 3.6% 2.2% 0.8%
Hayden Johansen 3.5% 3.6% 4.3% 5.1% 3.5% 5.9% 6.6% 7.8% 7.5% 10.6% 12.8% 14.9% 13.8%
Juan Casal 13.7% 13.6% 13.2% 11.2% 10.2% 9.3% 8.6% 7.0% 5.2% 4.5% 2.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Nicholas Chesemore 10.4% 11.3% 10.2% 10.3% 8.9% 8.0% 8.6% 8.5% 7.5% 6.8% 5.1% 2.9% 1.6%
Cole Broberg 5.9% 6.2% 7.0% 7.7% 7.2% 8.6% 9.0% 8.4% 8.7% 9.8% 9.3% 8.3% 3.9%
Benjamin Karle 1.9% 1.6% 2.5% 2.4% 3.3% 2.9% 3.0% 4.7% 5.6% 5.5% 9.0% 14.3% 43.2%
Rakesh Dhiman 5.3% 4.2% 5.1% 5.0% 6.4% 7.0% 7.1% 8.8% 10.4% 10.1% 10.7% 12.2% 7.8%
Caroline Henry 3.5% 4.2% 4.5% 3.7% 4.2% 6.0% 5.8% 7.6% 8.4% 10.1% 13.8% 15.2% 12.8%
Alden Gort 6.9% 6.6% 6.7% 7.3% 8.5% 7.8% 8.6% 8.9% 9.2% 9.2% 8.7% 8.1% 3.6%
Marco Constantini 4.5% 5.2% 4.4% 5.7% 6.6% 6.3% 6.6% 6.0% 9.2% 11.2% 11.6% 13.5% 9.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.