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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.5
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine3.43+4.70vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.99+9.25vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.54+10.68vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.68+0.05vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon2.51+3.87vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles2.63+2.22vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy2.25+3.19vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University2.22+2.24vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-0.09+11.10vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.48-5.19vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University1.02+5.10vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.90-4.93vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California2.64-4.87vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay1.64-0.92vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii3.04-8.93vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego1.57-2.88vs Predicted
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18University of Puget Sound0.55+1.06vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego1.56-4.49vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis1.68-6.73vs Predicted
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21Western Washington University1.62-6.73vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Barbara1.31-6.94vs Predicted
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24University of Washington0.87-6.54vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles1.83-12.04vs Predicted
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27University of Texas0.71-8.65vs Predicted
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28Purdue University-1.06-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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12.25University of California at Santa Barbara1.990.0%1st Place
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14.68University of California at Berkeley1.540.0%1st Place
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5.05University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
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9.22University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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11.19California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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11.24Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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21.1University of Oregon-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.81University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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17.1Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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8.07Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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14.08California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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7.07University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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14.12University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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19.06University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
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14.51University of California at San Diego1.560.0%1st Place
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13.27University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
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14.27Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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16.06University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.0%1st Place
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17.46University of Washington0.870.0%1st Place
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12.96University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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18.35University of Texas0.710.0%1st Place
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23.37Purdue University-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rex Cameron | 13.0% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Logan Swartz | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Kew | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Adam Pokras | 14.8% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brandon Wood | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Paulling | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 27.6% | 17.1% |
| SEAN Ross | 12.5% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Waldron | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| John Elam | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 6.7% |
| Brooke Sharp | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Lee | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Ashley Vincent | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Caitlin Beavers | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Stewart | 0.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 3.3% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Hazel Mahony | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 3.6% |
| Nick Heymer | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 13.0% | 62.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.