Race 1B

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ben Rosenberg 17.4% 18.4% 16.1% 11.9% 10.7% 9.0% 5.8% 4.1% 3.4% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Miles Williams 18.9% 16.0% 15.5% 14.5% 11.2% 8.4% 6.5% 3.5% 3.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Francis Selldorff 10.9% 11.8% 11.2% 12.1% 11.6% 10.3% 9.6% 7.9% 6.2% 4.7% 2.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Matthew Wallace 10.3% 13.1% 12.8% 11.5% 11.1% 10.9% 8.2% 8.5% 6.0% 3.3% 2.6% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Nolan Cooper 3.4% 4.8% 5.6% 6.3% 6.8% 8.6% 8.0% 9.9% 11.0% 10.6% 10.3% 8.1% 6.3% 0.3%
Molly Hanrahan 3.8% 4.0% 4.8% 5.6% 5.1% 8.2% 8.7% 10.2% 9.8% 10.6% 11.8% 10.0% 6.9% 0.5%
Caleb Niles 14.9% 13.6% 12.5% 12.4% 12.3% 9.9% 9.7% 5.9% 4.1% 2.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Renato Korzinek 3.4% 4.0% 4.5% 4.4% 5.4% 5.4% 7.7% 7.8% 7.6% 13.8% 11.5% 12.2% 11.1% 1.2%
Nicholas Hardy 5.4% 3.9% 5.5% 7.1% 6.4% 8.3% 9.5% 11.8% 11.1% 9.4% 9.4% 7.5% 4.3% 0.4%
Raymond Huffman 1.7% 1.6% 1.5% 1.9% 2.1% 2.8% 4.7% 4.4% 6.6% 9.4% 11.6% 16.5% 30.5% 4.7%
Matthew Cabot 3.1% 3.0% 2.8% 4.8% 6.1% 5.6% 7.8% 7.2% 10.0% 11.3% 13.5% 13.1% 10.8% 0.9%
Alex Kitay 3.4% 3.2% 4.3% 4.4% 6.9% 7.7% 8.1% 10.3% 11.1% 10.6% 9.6% 11.1% 8.4% 0.9%
Elizabeth Amelotte 3.3% 2.4% 2.8% 3.1% 4.1% 4.6% 5.4% 8.3% 9.3% 10.5% 12.6% 16.1% 16.3% 1.2%
Sawyer Yasenchack 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.7% 0.5% 1.4% 1.5% 4.7% 89.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.