Race 2B

boston

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ben Rosenberg 18.9% 18.0% 13.9% 11.2% 12.4% 8.9% 5.6% 5.1% 3.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Nolan Cooper 4.1% 6.6% 4.9% 7.2% 6.5% 7.7% 8.5% 9.4% 12.5% 10.6% 9.6% 8.0% 4.2% 0.2%
Matthew Cabot 4.0% 3.2% 3.8% 4.1% 5.8% 6.2% 6.2% 6.4% 8.8% 11.3% 13.2% 15.1% 11.0% 0.9%
Molly Hanrahan 3.2% 4.4% 4.5% 7.3% 4.9% 8.5% 7.7% 8.9% 11.1% 11.7% 10.9% 9.0% 7.0% 0.9%
Caleb Niles 11.7% 13.0% 14.1% 11.5% 11.2% 10.8% 9.0% 8.2% 5.1% 2.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Nicholas Hardy 4.8% 5.4% 5.0% 5.3% 7.7% 7.9% 12.8% 9.5% 7.5% 10.7% 10.7% 8.2% 4.1% 0.4%
Alex Kitay 4.0% 4.4% 5.1% 7.0% 6.2% 5.9% 8.7% 9.0% 9.8% 11.6% 10.8% 10.4% 6.9% 0.2%
Renato Korzinek 3.8% 3.5% 4.2% 5.2% 4.3% 6.0% 6.8% 7.8% 9.6% 10.9% 12.4% 12.7% 11.2% 1.6%
Sawyer Yasenchack 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.7% 1.5% 3.4% 91.1%
Elizabeth Amelotte 2.3% 2.6% 2.6% 2.4% 2.8% 5.6% 6.0% 6.9% 10.1% 9.9% 13.9% 15.0% 18.8% 1.1%
Raymond Huffman 1.8% 0.8% 2.1% 2.1% 1.9% 4.2% 3.4% 5.8% 6.8% 9.1% 10.3% 16.4% 31.8% 3.5%
Matthew Wallace 10.9% 10.2% 13.7% 12.8% 10.8% 11.1% 8.6% 8.0% 5.3% 4.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Miles Williams 18.6% 15.3% 15.0% 12.5% 12.7% 7.7% 6.2% 5.8% 3.3% 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Francis Selldorff 11.8% 12.5% 11.1% 11.1% 12.6% 8.9% 10.1% 8.7% 5.9% 3.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.