Race 3B

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Francis Selldorff 11.3% 12.5% 12.0% 10.6% 11.2% 11.7% 9.3% 6.7% 5.1% 4.7% 2.6% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Caleb Niles 15.1% 13.0% 12.4% 12.4% 12.6% 10.1% 7.8% 7.2% 4.0% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Miles Williams 17.7% 17.1% 14.8% 14.2% 9.7% 9.6% 7.0% 5.3% 2.6% 1.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nolan Cooper 3.3% 4.5% 6.6% 6.1% 7.5% 7.5% 8.2% 11.0% 9.4% 9.9% 12.1% 7.3% 5.8% 0.8%
Ben Rosenberg 15.3% 16.2% 16.7% 13.8% 10.8% 9.5% 6.7% 5.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Hardy 4.4% 5.0% 5.8% 7.0% 6.3% 8.5% 9.8% 10.2% 11.2% 8.9% 9.3% 8.9% 4.4% 0.3%
Matthew Wallace 12.8% 13.5% 12.0% 11.1% 12.2% 10.1% 9.0% 8.5% 5.1% 2.5% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Molly Hanrahan 4.9% 4.2% 5.8% 5.9% 7.0% 5.7% 9.0% 8.1% 10.0% 12.3% 10.2% 9.4% 7.2% 0.3%
Alex Kitay 4.6% 3.3% 3.7% 4.3% 6.0% 6.3% 7.7% 9.2% 11.5% 13.1% 11.2% 10.7% 7.5% 0.9%
Matthew Cabot 2.9% 3.1% 3.0% 4.5% 4.5% 7.1% 6.3% 8.6% 11.3% 9.5% 11.9% 14.0% 12.0% 1.3%
Renato Korzinek 3.2% 2.7% 3.0% 4.1% 6.3% 5.8% 8.5% 7.7% 9.4% 10.8% 13.6% 13.2% 10.8% 0.9%
Elizabeth Amelotte 2.2% 2.9% 2.7% 3.4% 3.1% 4.5% 7.0% 7.4% 9.2% 12.0% 11.5% 15.4% 17.3% 1.4%
Raymond Huffman 2.1% 1.8% 1.5% 2.6% 2.6% 3.3% 3.5% 4.6% 7.5% 10.0% 11.2% 15.7% 30.1% 3.5%
Sawyer Yasenchack 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 4.2% 90.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.