Race 4B

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Caleb Niles 12.8% 15.5% 13.4% 10.8% 11.2% 12.3% 6.8% 6.6% 4.7% 2.7% 1.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Miles Williams 18.6% 17.2% 15.7% 14.5% 10.6% 7.7% 6.6% 4.0% 3.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Nolan Cooper 4.9% 4.1% 6.5% 6.2% 6.2% 8.2% 7.6% 9.9% 9.8% 11.1% 11.3% 8.5% 5.5% 0.2%
Ben Rosenberg 16.4% 17.6% 13.8% 14.2% 12.2% 8.1% 7.9% 4.3% 3.2% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Amelotte 1.9% 2.5% 2.9% 3.3% 4.3% 5.2% 6.6% 5.3% 9.1% 10.8% 12.3% 16.8% 17.4% 1.6%
Nicholas Hardy 4.6% 4.0% 5.9% 6.5% 8.3% 7.1% 10.2% 11.2% 9.5% 10.9% 9.4% 7.9% 4.0% 0.5%
Matthew Wallace 13.6% 11.8% 12.4% 12.7% 11.5% 10.4% 8.4% 7.4% 5.3% 3.3% 1.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Francis Selldorff 11.1% 12.3% 11.7% 11.5% 10.8% 9.0% 10.1% 7.5% 7.3% 5.0% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Molly Hanrahan 4.9% 3.1% 4.4% 5.7% 6.0% 6.5% 9.5% 10.0% 11.5% 10.7% 11.5% 9.4% 6.2% 0.6%
Alex Kitay 3.5% 3.1% 3.8% 4.7% 6.6% 9.1% 8.0% 9.2% 10.6% 10.1% 11.4% 10.4% 8.8% 0.7%
Raymond Huffman 1.4% 1.8% 2.1% 1.4% 1.8% 3.6% 4.1% 5.4% 6.8% 8.1% 11.0% 16.2% 32.5% 3.8%
Renato Korzinek 3.0% 3.2% 3.8% 3.4% 5.4% 6.1% 7.8% 10.3% 9.5% 11.2% 11.2% 12.7% 11.4% 1.0%
Matthew Cabot 3.2% 3.6% 3.5% 5.0% 5.0% 6.3% 6.2% 8.6% 9.4% 12.8% 13.0% 13.1% 9.6% 0.7%
Sawyer Yasenchack 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 1.1% 1.4% 1.0% 3.9% 90.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.