Race 5B

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Miles Williams 17.6% 17.5% 16.7% 13.0% 9.1% 8.6% 6.1% 5.9% 2.1% 1.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Caleb Niles 14.8% 14.0% 12.0% 11.8% 12.1% 11.3% 8.0% 6.8% 4.0% 2.9% 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Ben Rosenberg 18.2% 17.4% 14.8% 12.5% 12.1% 8.2% 7.7% 4.5% 2.6% 0.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Wallace 10.8% 12.1% 12.0% 12.2% 12.0% 9.7% 9.4% 7.8% 6.2% 3.7% 2.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Nicholas Hardy 3.9% 4.7% 7.0% 6.3% 7.7% 8.4% 8.6% 10.8% 10.7% 10.1% 9.1% 7.5% 4.9% 0.3%
Francis Selldorff 11.0% 10.1% 10.7% 14.0% 10.1% 10.6% 9.3% 8.3% 6.8% 5.1% 2.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Alex Kitay 4.1% 4.9% 4.4% 6.9% 5.8% 7.1% 8.0% 7.9% 12.0% 10.7% 11.4% 10.2% 6.0% 0.6%
Matthew Cabot 3.6% 3.1% 4.7% 4.7% 4.8% 5.4% 7.2% 8.5% 8.5% 12.7% 12.3% 11.8% 11.7% 1.0%
Raymond Huffman 1.9% 1.6% 2.1% 1.9% 2.0% 2.4% 3.7% 4.9% 6.5% 9.9% 11.0% 18.2% 30.1% 3.8%
Elizabeth Amelotte 2.4% 2.4% 2.2% 2.6% 3.4% 5.5% 6.7% 6.5% 9.5% 9.5% 13.2% 15.2% 19.2% 1.7%
Renato Korzinek 2.8% 3.1% 2.9% 3.8% 6.6% 6.0% 7.5% 7.1% 9.8% 12.2% 13.0% 12.7% 11.5% 1.0%
Nolan Cooper 4.4% 4.2% 5.2% 5.3% 8.0% 8.0% 9.0% 11.0% 10.3% 9.8% 9.3% 9.2% 5.8% 0.5%
Molly Hanrahan 4.4% 4.6% 5.3% 5.0% 6.3% 8.5% 8.3% 9.6% 10.8% 10.5% 11.3% 8.8% 6.3% 0.3%
Sawyer Yasenchack 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.7% 1.0% 2.1% 3.6% 90.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.