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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.07+2.97vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.62+2.90vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.07+0.96vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.08+5.44vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.66+0.17vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.35+4.53vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.80+0.17vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.61-0.12vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.78-4.25vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University0.69-2.14vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.52-2.72vs Predicted
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12Harvard University0.34-3.25vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.34-4.37vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-3.04-0.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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4.9Boston College1.620.1%1st Place
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3.96University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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9.44University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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5.17Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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10.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.17Boston University0.800.1%1st Place
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7.88Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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4.75Northeastern University1.780.1%1st Place
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7.86Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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8.28Bowdoin College0.520.0%1st Place
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8.75Harvard University0.340.0%1st Place
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8.63Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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13.71Middlebury College-3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Williams | 17.8% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis Selldorff | 13.6% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 19.2% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Wallace | 9.1% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Huffman | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 32.8% | 3.8% |
| Nicholas Hardy | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 0.5% |
| Caleb Niles | 12.9% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Alex Kitay | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Cabot | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 1.2% |
| Renato Korzinek | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 0.6% |
| Sawyer Yasenchack | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 90.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.