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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.07+3.18vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+3.04vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.78+1.92vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.08+5.61vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.72+2.94vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University0.69+2.06vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.66-1.96vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.62-2.65vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.07-4.77vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.61-1.69vs Predicted
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11Harvard University0.34-2.03vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College-0.43-1.24vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.34-4.14vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-3.04-0.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.18University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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5.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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4.92Northeastern University1.780.1%1st Place
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9.61University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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7.94Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.06Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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5.04Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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5.35Boston College1.620.1%1st Place
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4.23University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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8.31Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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8.97Harvard University0.340.0%1st Place
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10.76Bowdoin College-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.86Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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13.72Middlebury College-3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Williams | 16.7% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 12.5% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 12.3% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 2.9% |
| William Wiegand | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 0.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Wallace | 11.7% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Francis Selldorff | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 15.8% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Cabot | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 0.7% |
| Esteban Tarazona | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 17.4% | 33.8% | 4.2% |
| Renato Korzinek | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 0.6% |
| Sawyer Yasenchack | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 4.9% | 89.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.