← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.07+3.17vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.07+2.05vs Predicted
-
3Boston College1.62+2.33vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University1.78+0.93vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+0.30vs Predicted
-
6Boston University0.72+2.01vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University0.61+0.95vs Predicted
-
8Fairfield University0.69-0.10vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.66-3.69vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College-0.43+0.86vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont0.08-1.33vs Predicted
-
12Boston University0.34-3.05vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University0.34-4.16vs Predicted
-
14Middlebury College-3.04-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.17University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
-
4.05University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
-
5.33Boston College1.620.1%1st Place
-
4.93Northeastern University1.780.1%1st Place
-
5.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
-
8.01Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
7.95Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
-
7.9Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
-
5.31Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
-
10.86Bowdoin College-0.430.0%1st Place
-
9.67University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
-
8.95Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
-
8.84Harvard University0.340.0%1st Place
-
13.73Middlebury College-3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Williams | 16.5% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 18.4% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Francis Selldorff | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 10.5% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Wiegand | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 0.6% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 0.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Wallace | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Tarazona | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 16.5% | 35.0% | 5.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 16.6% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 1.7% |
| Renato Korzinek | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Cabot | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 0.3% |
| Sawyer Yasenchack | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 4.7% | 90.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.