Race 1A

admiral-alymer

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Tyler Rice 11.5% 9.0% 9.8% 10.6% 13.0% 12.2% 10.1% 8.9% 8.1% 5.5% 1.3% 0.0%
William Hutchings 12.6% 13.3% 11.7% 12.0% 10.7% 12.0% 8.6% 7.9% 7.1% 3.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Christopher Price 9.2% 7.9% 9.6% 8.8% 8.9% 9.1% 11.8% 11.8% 10.5% 11.0% 1.4% 0.0%
Ian Towill 7.8% 10.0% 9.8% 11.0% 10.1% 11.1% 9.3% 10.8% 10.1% 8.3% 1.5% 0.2%
Stephanie Hudson 14.4% 14.4% 13.9% 11.6% 10.5% 10.5% 9.3% 6.1% 5.8% 3.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Michael Sturges 6.0% 6.4% 8.1% 6.5% 9.1% 8.7% 11.4% 10.8% 13.4% 16.2% 3.2% 0.2%
Sarah Fiske 5.1% 6.2% 4.7% 7.8% 7.3% 7.7% 7.6% 11.6% 15.8% 19.9% 5.7% 0.6%
Matthew Schon 13.4% 13.4% 12.0% 9.5% 10.1% 10.1% 10.0% 9.9% 5.9% 4.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Emily Billing 12.2% 11.9% 12.0% 13.5% 11.6% 9.5% 11.3% 8.5% 5.1% 4.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Lyle Fielding 6.9% 6.7% 7.4% 7.8% 7.7% 8.2% 9.7% 11.2% 14.4% 15.1% 4.6% 0.3%
Paul Hildebrand 0.6% 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 1.2% 2.3% 4.6% 47.3% 40.8%
Tim Dexter 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 1.3% 1.5% 4.0% 32.7% 57.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.