Race 12A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charlie Herrick 14.1% 11.9% 12.1% 11.2% 9.8% 10.0% 8.3% 7.6% 6.0% 4.2% 2.9% 1.4% 0.3%
Wyatt Tait 10.3% 9.2% 11.0% 9.9% 8.9% 8.9% 9.2% 8.3% 7.0% 7.5% 5.2% 3.5% 0.9%
Juan Casal 12.5% 12.8% 12.0% 11.9% 10.9% 10.0% 7.1% 8.3% 6.2% 4.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3%
Rakesh Dhiman 5.1% 5.0% 5.1% 5.9% 5.9% 5.7% 7.3% 7.3% 9.4% 10.8% 12.0% 11.2% 9.3%
Mary Castellini 11.0% 10.4% 9.6% 8.8% 9.8% 9.3% 9.4% 7.6% 7.9% 5.8% 5.5% 3.6% 1.2%
Nicholas Chesemore 10.0% 10.0% 9.8% 10.2% 9.4% 9.0% 9.1% 8.3% 8.5% 7.0% 4.8% 2.5% 1.4%
Sam Childers 10.9% 11.3% 10.2% 10.1% 10.8% 9.3% 9.3% 8.0% 7.5% 4.9% 4.3% 2.5% 0.8%
Hayden Johansen 3.1% 4.6% 4.4% 4.7% 5.1% 6.0% 7.2% 8.0% 8.5% 9.6% 12.6% 13.7% 12.6%
Cole Broberg 6.5% 6.1% 7.3% 7.0% 7.2% 8.9% 8.6% 8.6% 8.9% 9.6% 9.4% 8.0% 3.9%
Alden Gort 6.5% 6.9% 7.1% 6.0% 8.2% 8.8% 9.1% 8.4% 9.1% 9.3% 8.3% 7.9% 4.2%
Caroline Henry 3.8% 4.2% 4.2% 5.2% 6.0% 5.5% 5.3% 7.6% 7.9% 9.2% 12.6% 15.8% 12.7%
Marco Constantini 4.2% 6.0% 5.3% 5.8% 5.3% 5.8% 6.9% 7.4% 8.3% 9.7% 12.1% 13.5% 9.7%
Benjamin Karle 1.9% 1.6% 1.9% 3.3% 2.5% 2.8% 3.1% 4.4% 4.5% 7.9% 7.9% 15.4% 42.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.