Race 11B

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ben Rosenberg 16.9% 16.1% 13.9% 12.7% 13.9% 8.4% 8.2% 4.0% 2.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Francis Selldorff 10.2% 11.9% 10.9% 9.1% 13.3% 12.4% 9.4% 8.8% 6.9% 4.0% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Caleb Niles 11.6% 13.1% 13.9% 11.3% 9.8% 11.8% 10.7% 7.8% 5.0% 3.3% 1.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Matthew Wallace 12.2% 10.6% 11.8% 12.0% 10.7% 9.8% 8.9% 10.2% 6.4% 5.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0%
William Wiegand 5.3% 4.6% 5.0% 8.0% 6.6% 7.8% 8.4% 9.7% 14.2% 12.1% 12.0% 6.0% 0.3%
Elizabeth Amelotte 1.9% 2.7% 3.5% 2.7% 3.6% 4.5% 6.8% 9.0% 9.6% 15.0% 19.3% 20.1% 1.3%
Miles Williams 17.8% 16.8% 13.8% 12.2% 11.6% 10.0% 7.4% 4.8% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Katz-Christy 11.2% 12.3% 10.9% 11.7% 12.0% 11.7% 9.8% 8.6% 6.2% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.0%
Nolan Cooper 4.1% 4.8% 5.5% 6.0% 5.0% 7.3% 9.6% 11.3% 13.0% 12.2% 12.9% 7.5% 0.8%
Molly Hanrahan 5.1% 3.2% 5.3% 5.3% 5.9% 7.6% 9.1% 9.4% 13.0% 14.6% 12.9% 8.1% 0.5%
Matthew Cabot 2.6% 2.7% 3.3% 6.9% 5.8% 5.6% 7.1% 10.7% 12.3% 16.2% 15.0% 10.7% 1.1%
Esteban Tarazona 0.9% 1.1% 2.1% 2.0% 1.6% 3.0% 4.4% 5.4% 6.8% 9.8% 17.1% 41.7% 4.1%
Sawyer Yasenchack 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 1.1% 1.3% 4.0% 91.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.