Race 12B

boston

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ben Rosenberg 16.8% 15.7% 14.0% 15.0% 11.5% 9.0% 6.9% 5.5% 3.0% 1.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Miles Williams 17.6% 15.8% 13.8% 13.4% 12.4% 9.3% 7.1% 5.0% 3.1% 1.4% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Francis Selldorff 10.0% 10.4% 12.7% 10.3% 12.2% 11.6% 9.9% 9.0% 7.3% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Caleb Niles 13.0% 11.5% 12.4% 12.4% 11.7% 10.6% 9.4% 8.2% 6.3% 3.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Esteban Tarazona 1.5% 2.0% 2.3% 1.8% 2.6% 2.1% 4.4% 5.1% 8.5% 9.2% 17.7% 38.7% 4.1%
Max Katz-Christy 11.6% 11.5% 13.4% 11.4% 10.9% 10.9% 9.3% 8.1% 6.0% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Matthew Wallace 12.4% 12.7% 10.1% 10.8% 10.9% 11.9% 10.1% 8.2% 6.3% 3.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0%
William Wiegand 4.2% 5.8% 5.2% 5.4% 5.9% 8.2% 10.5% 10.7% 13.3% 13.5% 10.6% 6.6% 0.1%
Nolan Cooper 4.5% 4.5% 4.8% 5.1% 6.4% 7.6% 9.7% 11.1% 11.9% 12.7% 13.3% 7.6% 0.8%
Elizabeth Amelotte 2.3% 2.7% 3.2% 3.3% 3.7% 4.6% 7.5% 7.2% 9.0% 15.4% 20.0% 18.9% 2.2%
Matthew Cabot 2.8% 2.9% 3.5% 4.9% 6.2% 6.4% 6.9% 11.2% 12.3% 15.5% 14.2% 12.1% 1.1%
Molly Hanrahan 3.1% 4.4% 4.4% 6.1% 5.5% 7.6% 8.0% 10.6% 12.6% 14.8% 13.8% 8.4% 0.7%
Sawyer Yasenchack 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 1.9% 4.9% 90.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.