Race 13B

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Francis Selldorff 11.0% 10.8% 11.0% 11.1% 11.3% 11.2% 11.1% 8.5% 6.4% 4.6% 1.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Ben Rosenberg 17.1% 15.2% 14.1% 14.9% 11.9% 9.5% 7.6% 3.8% 3.6% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Miles Williams 16.7% 15.5% 15.7% 10.9% 12.1% 11.3% 7.4% 5.3% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1%
Matthew Wallace 11.5% 10.9% 10.8% 13.5% 11.0% 10.1% 10.3% 8.5% 7.3% 4.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Molly Hanrahan 4.5% 4.1% 5.7% 5.6% 6.6% 6.2% 10.6% 10.0% 12.9% 13.4% 12.1% 7.4% 0.9%
Caleb Niles 12.5% 13.8% 13.0% 12.9% 11.2% 9.9% 8.2% 7.0% 7.1% 2.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Max Katz-Christy 12.8% 12.4% 10.7% 10.2% 12.0% 11.6% 9.4% 8.2% 6.0% 4.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
William Wiegand 3.7% 5.8% 5.5% 5.8% 6.0% 7.0% 9.9% 12.6% 13.0% 12.6% 11.2% 6.8% 0.1%
Nolan Cooper 4.3% 4.5% 5.1% 5.7% 5.6% 7.9% 9.7% 12.9% 11.1% 12.8% 12.5% 7.1% 0.8%
Elizabeth Amelotte 2.4% 2.5% 3.5% 3.0% 4.2% 4.9% 5.9% 7.7% 10.8% 14.4% 18.0% 20.7% 2.0%
Esteban Tarazona 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 1.8% 3.0% 4.2% 3.6% 5.9% 7.8% 10.5% 19.2% 35.7% 4.5%
Matthew Cabot 2.2% 3.2% 3.1% 4.5% 5.1% 6.2% 6.1% 9.2% 10.4% 17.1% 17.5% 14.4% 1.0%
Sawyer Yasenchack 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 1.6% 5.3% 90.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.