Race 14B

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Miles Williams 17.3% 15.9% 13.0% 13.3% 13.5% 8.9% 7.8% 4.8% 2.5% 1.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Ben Rosenberg 17.9% 14.7% 15.0% 13.1% 11.6% 10.2% 6.6% 5.2% 2.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Matthew Wallace 10.1% 12.5% 11.1% 11.5% 10.2% 11.6% 11.0% 8.8% 7.1% 4.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Max Katz-Christy 10.9% 12.2% 10.8% 12.1% 11.1% 10.0% 11.4% 9.2% 5.9% 4.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0%
William Wiegand 5.1% 4.3% 5.8% 7.1% 7.9% 6.5% 8.4% 10.3% 14.3% 11.9% 12.5% 5.7% 0.2%
Francis Selldorff 10.4% 12.3% 11.6% 10.7% 10.6% 12.1% 8.5% 8.3% 7.1% 5.3% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Nolan Cooper 4.9% 4.9% 5.6% 7.2% 5.7% 5.9% 9.3% 10.8% 12.0% 15.1% 11.4% 6.8% 0.4%
Caleb Niles 12.9% 13.0% 12.5% 10.0% 12.3% 13.9% 10.3% 5.1% 4.5% 3.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Molly Hanrahan 4.0% 4.3% 4.5% 5.5% 5.3% 6.6% 8.6% 11.7% 13.1% 13.5% 13.1% 8.8% 1.0%
Elizabeth Amelotte 2.5% 2.3% 4.0% 2.7% 3.0% 5.3% 6.0% 8.7% 10.1% 13.7% 19.9% 19.9% 1.9%
Matthew Cabot 2.8% 2.4% 4.0% 5.1% 6.0% 6.0% 7.5% 11.1% 12.8% 14.6% 15.2% 11.4% 1.1%
Esteban Tarazona 1.0% 1.1% 2.0% 1.6% 2.6% 3.0% 4.2% 5.7% 7.5% 9.2% 16.9% 40.9% 4.3%
Sawyer Yasenchack 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 1.2% 1.8% 4.4% 91.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.