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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.68+1.28vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.85+1.51vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.02+0.26vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30+1.31vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.46+1.85vs Predicted
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6Bates College0.28-1.64vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-0.36vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.62-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Northeastern University1.680.4%1st Place
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3.51University of Rhode Island0.850.1%1st Place
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3.26University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
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5.31University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.1%1st Place
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6.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
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4.36Bates College0.280.1%1st Place
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6.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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3.8Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 37.0% | 27.7% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Iain Jaeger | 14.0% | 18.4% | 19.5% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Grace Cannon | 17.7% | 19.7% | 20.7% | 17.0% | 14.0% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Kate Myler | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 24.9% | 21.7% | 8.9% |
| Kolby Seibert | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 11.1% | 28.7% | 45.5% |
| Jack Valentino | 9.5% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 18.0% | 19.2% | 17.9% | 9.4% | 3.4% |
| Norman Walker | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 13.9% | 28.0% | 40.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 12.8% | 13.9% | 18.5% | 17.3% | 18.5% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.