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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+2.75vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.28+2.44vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.68-0.72vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.02-0.75vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.85-1.51vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-0.72vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-0.32vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.46-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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4.44Bates College0.280.1%1st Place
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2.28Northeastern University1.680.4%1st Place
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3.25University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
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3.49University of Rhode Island0.850.1%1st Place
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5.28University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.1%1st Place
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6.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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6.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 12.9% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 20.4% | 17.0% | 12.2% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Jack Valentino | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 20.6% | 17.8% | 11.3% | 3.2% |
| Sam Monaghan | 37.2% | 26.3% | 17.9% | 11.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 18.2% | 20.3% | 19.1% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Iain Jaeger | 14.2% | 19.4% | 21.0% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Kate Myler | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 24.5% | 19.7% | 9.1% |
| Norman Walker | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 12.0% | 29.2% | 41.0% |
| Kolby Seibert | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 11.5% | 28.4% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.