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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.68+1.25vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.62+1.85vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.85+0.49vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.02-0.77vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.28-0.59vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+0.65vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.46-0.16vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Northeastern University1.680.4%1st Place
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3.85Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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3.49University of Rhode Island0.850.2%1st Place
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3.23University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
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4.41Bates College0.280.1%1st Place
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6.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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6.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
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5.27University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 38.3% | 27.8% | 15.8% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 11.3% | 14.6% | 17.5% | 19.4% | 16.8% | 13.3% | 6.2% | 0.9% |
| Iain Jaeger | 15.6% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 18.7% | 19.2% | 18.6% | 20.3% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Jack Valentino | 8.3% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 19.3% | 18.6% | 10.9% | 3.0% |
| Norman Walker | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 14.0% | 31.0% | 37.7% |
| Kolby Seibert | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 26.8% | 48.3% |
| Kate Myler | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 17.5% | 25.1% | 19.5% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.