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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+2.81vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.68+0.31vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+3.62vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.02-0.73vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.85-1.49vs Predicted
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6Bates College0.28-1.62vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.46-0.15vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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2.31Northeastern University1.680.4%1st Place
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6.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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3.27University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
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3.51University of Rhode Island0.850.1%1st Place
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4.38Bates College0.280.1%1st Place
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6.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
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5.25University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 12.3% | 15.0% | 17.6% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Sam Monaghan | 37.0% | 25.1% | 18.5% | 11.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Norman Walker | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 12.7% | 29.1% | 39.1% |
| Grace Cannon | 18.0% | 20.7% | 17.2% | 19.7% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Iain Jaeger | 14.4% | 19.5% | 19.1% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Jack Valentino | 9.0% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 19.3% | 19.3% | 10.0% | 3.1% |
| Kolby Seibert | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 28.1% | 47.2% |
| Kate Myler | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 18.2% | 22.7% | 20.7% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.