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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.85+2.31vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.68+0.27vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+0.76vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.28+0.29vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.02-1.81vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.46+0.73vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.81-1.05vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31University of Rhode Island0.850.2%1st Place
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2.27Northeastern University1.680.4%1st Place
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3.76Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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4.29Bates College0.280.1%1st Place
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3.19University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
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6.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
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5.95University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iain Jaeger | 16.5% | 19.9% | 20.1% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Sam Monaghan | 38.0% | 25.0% | 18.6% | 11.6% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 12.8% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 19.3% | 18.9% | 11.7% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Jack Valentino | 8.7% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 19.0% | 19.9% | 18.9% | 7.3% | 2.4% |
| Grace Cannon | 17.8% | 21.7% | 18.7% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Kolby Seibert | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 14.6% | 25.7% | 43.4% |
| Thomas Laskarzewski | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 22.2% | 26.8% | 20.3% |
| Norman Walker | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 7.9% | 17.9% | 30.6% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.