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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.28+3.25vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.62+1.76vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.68-0.77vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.02-0.84vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.85-1.59vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.46+0.75vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.81-1.04vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Bates College0.280.1%1st Place
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3.76Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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2.23Northeastern University1.680.4%1st Place
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3.16University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
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3.41University of Rhode Island0.850.1%1st Place
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6.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
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5.96University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Valentino | 8.6% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 18.1% | 20.8% | 16.4% | 8.5% | 2.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 12.8% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 19.4% | 19.1% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 0.6% |
| Sam Monaghan | 38.8% | 26.0% | 17.8% | 10.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 18.9% | 20.1% | 19.9% | 19.3% | 13.8% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Iain Jaeger | 14.9% | 20.1% | 19.4% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Kolby Seibert | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 15.1% | 24.9% | 43.9% |
| Thomas Laskarzewski | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 22.7% | 27.1% | 20.0% |
| Norman Walker | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 17.2% | 30.2% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.