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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami0.32+5.76vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.77+3.29vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.58+0.59vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.45-0.47vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.01+2.74vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.70-1.06vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.12+0.16vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.64+1.29vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.11-0.99vs Predicted
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10Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-3.47vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.09-3.77vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College-0.68-2.83vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-2.07-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76University of Miami0.326.2%1st Place
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5.29University of South Florida0.7710.4%1st Place
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3.59Jacksonville University1.5819.4%1st Place
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3.53Jacksonville University1.4521.7%1st Place
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7.74University of South Florida0.014.2%1st Place
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4.94Jacksonville University0.7012.4%1st Place
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7.16Florida State University0.125.9%1st Place
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9.29Florida Institute of Technology-0.642.0%1st Place
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8.01Rollins College-0.113.9%1st Place
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6.53Palm Beach Atlantic University0.365.5%1st Place
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7.23University of South Florida0.095.1%1st Place
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9.17Eckerd College-0.682.7%1st Place
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11.76Embry-Riddle University-2.070.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Stratton | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Cole Schweda | 19.4% | 19.4% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 21.7% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 3.2% |
| Fiona Froelich | 12.4% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kamron Kaiser | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 2.2% |
| Noah Scholtz | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 21.3% | 10.6% |
| Jack Adderley | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 4.0% |
| Dawson Kohl | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Reese Ambrose | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Peter Miller | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 20.9% | 10.8% |
| Jay Hay | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 12.4% | 64.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.