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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.43+1.51vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College-0.02+0.52vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.17+1.51vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy-2.27+2.00vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.46-1.46vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-0.61-2.29vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-1.68-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Columbia University0.4328.9%1st Place
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2.52SUNY Maritime College-0.0230.3%1st Place
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4.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.177.8%1st Place
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6.0U. S. Military Academy-2.272.4%1st Place
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3.54SUNY Stony Brook-0.4614.9%1st Place
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3.71Unknown School-0.6111.6%1st Place
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5.21Unknown School-1.684.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 28.9% | 26.9% | 21.7% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 30.3% | 24.6% | 21.4% | 13.3% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Alden Hughes | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 16.4% | 21.5% | 21.8% | 12.7% |
| Sarra Salah | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 20.9% | 54.9% |
| Jeffrey Rhoads | 14.9% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 21.2% | 17.6% | 10.1% | 3.0% |
| Renata Altuzar | 11.6% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 20.8% | 19.8% | 11.2% | 4.0% |
| Bud Aichele | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 16.4% | 31.2% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.