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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.03+11.15vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.49+7.54vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.18+3.16vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.22+5.57vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.38+3.99vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.15+0.80vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.73-0.15vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+2.11vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.60-0.35vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.42-1.22vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.82-0.30vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.58-2.12vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.73-4.81vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.69vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.78-4.81vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.32-4.25vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-5.51vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.28-8.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.15Bowdoin College2.032.6%1st Place
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9.54College of Charleston2.495.3%1st Place
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6.16Harvard University3.1811.4%1st Place
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9.57Tufts University2.224.9%1st Place
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8.99Dartmouth College2.385.8%1st Place
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6.8Stanford University3.159.6%1st Place
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6.85Yale University2.739.6%1st Place
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10.11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.574.2%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Naval Academy2.605.8%1st Place
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8.78Georgetown University2.426.6%1st Place
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10.7George Washington University1.823.4%1st Place
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9.88Boston College2.584.5%1st Place
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8.19Brown University2.737.6%1st Place
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11.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.312.9%1st Place
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10.19University of Rhode Island2.784.3%1st Place
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11.75University of Miami2.322.9%1st Place
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11.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.773.4%1st Place
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9.86Tulane University2.285.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 16.5% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
| William Michels | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Jack Egan | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Enzo Menditto | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% |
| Peter Busch | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| Guthrie Braun | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 14.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.1% |
| Kelly Holthus | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.