Race 2A

admiral-alymer

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Stephanie Hudson 14.6% 13.5% 11.8% 14.4% 10.1% 11.1% 9.1% 6.2% 5.6% 2.9% 0.7% 0.0%
William Hutchings 11.7% 15.0% 11.6% 10.2% 12.6% 9.0% 10.8% 8.0% 6.2% 4.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Christopher Price 9.5% 8.1% 9.6% 8.6% 9.4% 9.5% 11.2% 10.4% 12.7% 9.5% 1.5% 0.0%
Sarah Fiske 4.6% 4.1% 4.6% 7.7% 7.0% 9.3% 8.3% 11.9% 13.8% 22.2% 6.2% 0.3%
Tyler Rice 11.4% 10.6% 11.4% 11.2% 11.1% 9.9% 10.0% 9.3% 7.4% 6.8% 0.9% 0.0%
Matthew Schon 11.9% 12.1% 11.8% 11.3% 10.8% 10.9% 8.9% 10.2% 6.9% 4.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Ian Towill 9.8% 9.8% 9.1% 10.4% 9.4% 10.4% 11.2% 11.0% 9.6% 7.9% 1.4% 0.0%
Michael Sturges 7.2% 7.1% 7.7% 7.0% 9.3% 8.5% 8.8% 11.8% 13.4% 15.3% 3.9% 0.0%
Emily Billing 11.1% 12.4% 14.8% 10.1% 12.5% 10.3% 10.4% 7.8% 6.1% 3.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Lyle Fielding 7.1% 6.7% 6.7% 7.9% 7.1% 10.0% 10.4% 10.9% 13.9% 15.4% 3.6% 0.3%
Paul Hildebrand 0.8% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 0.3% 1.5% 2.3% 4.4% 46.8% 41.2%
Tim Dexter 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 1.0% 2.1% 3.1% 32.9% 58.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.