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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.36+3.79vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.13+3.59vs Predicted
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3Hope College-0.11+3.39vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.32+0.88vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.02+1.05vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.49-0.42vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University0.24-1.49vs Predicted
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8Washington University-0.80+0.14vs Predicted
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9University of Saint Thomas-2.16+2.23vs Predicted
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10Hope College-1.55+0.07vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.52-3.32vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota0.31-6.80vs Predicted
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13Northern Michigan University-1.46-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79University of Wisconsin0.3614.3%1st Place
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5.59University of Wisconsin0.1310.6%1st Place
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6.39Hope College-0.118.3%1st Place
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4.88Marquette University0.3212.2%1st Place
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6.05Northwestern University-0.028.7%1st Place
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5.58Purdue University-0.4910.4%1st Place
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5.51Texas A&M University0.2411.2%1st Place
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8.14Washington University-0.804.3%1st Place
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11.23University of Saint Thomas-2.160.7%1st Place
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10.07Hope College-1.552.1%1st Place
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7.68Arizona State University-0.524.0%1st Place
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5.2University of Minnesota0.3111.3%1st Place
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9.87Northern Michigan University-1.461.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Tegeder | 14.3% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nigel Yu | 10.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Brittany Shabino | 12.2% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Cole Abbott | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Nok In Chan | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Kate Hennig | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Hsia | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 5.2% |
| Brady Boland | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 19.5% | 48.3% |
| Connor Bricco | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 23.5% | 21.5% |
| Andrew Down | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 3.0% |
| Fergus Munro | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Lawrence Busse | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 16.2% | 21.4% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.