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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+2.69vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.28+2.35vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.85+0.40vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.68-1.75vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.02-1.86vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.46+0.75vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-0.44vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.81-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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4.35Bates College0.280.1%1st Place
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3.4University of Rhode Island0.850.2%1st Place
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2.25Northeastern University1.680.4%1st Place
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3.14University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
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6.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
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6.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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5.85University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 13.1% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 20.2% | 18.6% | 10.7% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Jack Valentino | 8.6% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 22.3% | 16.3% | 9.9% | 2.3% |
| Iain Jaeger | 16.3% | 17.5% | 19.7% | 18.4% | 16.5% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Sam Monaghan | 37.1% | 26.3% | 18.7% | 12.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 18.2% | 22.7% | 20.1% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Kolby Seibert | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 15.1% | 25.9% | 43.6% |
| Norman Walker | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 15.8% | 28.0% | 37.1% |
| Thomas Laskarzewski | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 13.0% | 25.9% | 27.4% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.