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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.68+1.21vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.02+1.16vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.85+0.42vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.62-0.26vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.28-0.71vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.46+0.75vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-0.44vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.81-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Northeastern University1.680.4%1st Place
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3.16University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
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3.42University of Rhode Island0.850.2%1st Place
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3.74Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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4.29Bates College0.280.1%1st Place
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6.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
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6.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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5.86University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 38.9% | 28.1% | 15.6% | 10.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Grace Cannon | 18.5% | 21.2% | 19.7% | 18.3% | 13.5% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Iain Jaeger | 15.8% | 16.3% | 21.8% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 12.9% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 21.2% | 18.7% | 12.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Jack Valentino | 7.9% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 16.8% | 20.1% | 17.9% | 8.0% | 2.6% |
| Kolby Seibert | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 15.1% | 25.8% | 43.5% |
| Norman Walker | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 14.0% | 30.2% | 36.2% |
| Thomas Laskarzewski | 2.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 13.5% | 25.3% | 27.4% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.