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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel1.11+1.68vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.54+0.20vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.44+0.71vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.30-0.04vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.82+0.77vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-1.79+0.98vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-0.41-1.85vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.75-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68The Citadel1.110.3%1st Place
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2.2North Carolina State University1.540.4%1st Place
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3.71Jacksonville University0.440.1%1st Place
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3.96Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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5.77Rollins College-0.820.0%1st Place
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6.98University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
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5.15Embry-Riddle University-0.410.1%1st Place
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5.55Florida Institute of Technology-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Walters | 26.0% | 25.8% | 21.5% | 13.7% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Usher | 38.0% | 27.4% | 19.0% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joe Seiffert | 12.8% | 14.7% | 19.1% | 20.4% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Jackson McGeough | 10.4% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 21.0% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Herminio Agront | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 18.6% | 27.0% | 17.4% |
| Samuel Trimble | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 56.9% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 19.5% | 19.9% | 9.6% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 16.6% | 21.3% | 23.9% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.