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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+1.15vs Predicted
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2The Citadel1.11+0.75vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.44+0.74vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology-0.75+1.61vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-0.41+0.11vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-1.79+0.95vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.30-2.99vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.82-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15North Carolina State University1.540.4%1st Place
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2.75The Citadel1.110.2%1st Place
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3.74Jacksonville University0.440.1%1st Place
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5.61Florida Institute of Technology-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.11Embry-Riddle University-0.410.1%1st Place
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6.95University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
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4.01Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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5.67Rollins College-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 39.5% | 27.5% | 19.1% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 23.8% | 25.2% | 23.2% | 14.2% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Joe Seiffert | 13.2% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 19.5% | 17.9% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 18.7% | 25.4% | 15.1% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 18.9% | 18.4% | 18.9% | 9.2% |
| Samuel Trimble | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 10.6% | 18.0% | 56.1% |
| Jackson McGeough | 11.0% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 20.8% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Herminio Agront | 2.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 21.5% | 25.0% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.