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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel1.11+1.68vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.44+1.75vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.54-0.81vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.82+1.76vs Predicted
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5University of Georgia-1.79+2.01vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.30-2.05vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-0.41-1.85vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.75-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68The Citadel1.110.2%1st Place
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3.75Jacksonville University0.440.1%1st Place
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2.19North Carolina State University1.540.4%1st Place
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5.76Rollins College-0.820.0%1st Place
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7.01University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
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3.95Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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5.15Embry-Riddle University-0.410.1%1st Place
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5.53Florida Institute of Technology-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Walters | 24.2% | 28.6% | 19.4% | 16.2% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Joe Seiffert | 12.1% | 14.2% | 20.7% | 18.0% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 5.5% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Usher | 39.3% | 27.3% | 16.8% | 10.5% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Herminio Agront | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 15.0% | 19.8% | 24.6% | 18.1% |
| Samuel Trimble | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 10.8% | 19.1% | 56.8% |
| Jackson McGeough | 11.2% | 11.4% | 18.6% | 20.3% | 18.0% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 1.8% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 20.2% | 20.5% | 8.5% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 16.6% | 21.1% | 21.9% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.