← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1The Citadel1.11+1.69vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University1.54+0.22vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University0.44+0.72vs Predicted
-
4Florida Institute of Technology-0.75+1.60vs Predicted
-
5Embry-Riddle University-0.41+0.10vs Predicted
-
6Rollins College0.30-2.07vs Predicted
-
7Rollins College-0.82-1.21vs Predicted
-
8University of Georgia-1.79-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.69The Citadel1.110.3%1st Place
-
2.22North Carolina State University1.540.4%1st Place
-
3.72Jacksonville University0.440.1%1st Place
-
5.6Florida Institute of Technology-0.750.0%1st Place
-
5.1Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
-
3.93Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
-
5.79Rollins College-0.820.0%1st Place
-
6.95University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Walters | 26.9% | 24.8% | 20.5% | 14.2% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 37.2% | 28.6% | 17.9% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joe Seiffert | 12.7% | 14.7% | 19.1% | 19.6% | 16.8% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 17.3% | 18.7% | 23.0% | 16.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 4.8% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 22.6% | 17.9% | 8.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 10.6% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 19.2% | 18.4% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Herminio Agront | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 18.9% | 26.5% | 18.3% |
| Samuel Trimble | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 11.1% | 19.4% | 54.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.