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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel1.11+1.69vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.54+0.23vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.44+0.71vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology-0.75+1.62vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.82+0.74vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.30-2.07vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-0.41-1.88vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-1.79-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69The Citadel1.110.3%1st Place
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2.23North Carolina State University1.540.4%1st Place
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3.71Jacksonville University0.440.1%1st Place
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5.62Florida Institute of Technology-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.74Rollins College-0.820.0%1st Place
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3.93Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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5.12Embry-Riddle University-0.410.1%1st Place
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6.95University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Walters | 26.8% | 24.7% | 20.3% | 15.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 36.7% | 28.7% | 18.8% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joe Seiffert | 12.7% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 21.6% | 16.6% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 20.0% | 23.1% | 15.9% |
| Herminio Agront | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 21.0% | 23.9% | 17.8% |
| Jackson McGeough | 10.7% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 18.8% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 1.6% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 20.4% | 19.6% | 8.5% |
| Samuel Trimble | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 19.2% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.