Race 3A

admiral-alymer

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Tyler Rice 11.3% 9.9% 10.4% 10.9% 11.4% 11.6% 9.0% 11.2% 8.0% 5.1% 1.2% 0.0%
Ian Towill 8.4% 9.8% 10.9% 9.3% 9.0% 12.8% 10.6% 9.8% 10.0% 7.8% 1.5% 0.1%
Michael Sturges 7.7% 6.2% 6.4% 7.6% 8.6% 7.5% 10.6% 11.7% 15.3% 15.1% 3.1% 0.2%
Stephanie Hudson 13.3% 15.1% 13.3% 12.9% 11.6% 9.7% 8.0% 7.1% 5.6% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1%
William Hutchings 12.2% 14.0% 11.8% 12.3% 11.5% 9.5% 9.2% 7.2% 7.2% 4.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Christopher Price 8.6% 9.3% 8.7% 10.2% 9.0% 10.7% 11.0% 9.8% 9.5% 11.6% 1.6% 0.0%
Lyle Fielding 7.4% 6.4% 7.2% 8.0% 7.5% 9.0% 9.5% 12.1% 13.0% 16.3% 3.4% 0.2%
Matthew Schon 14.0% 12.3% 11.9% 9.9% 11.1% 8.2% 11.2% 8.4% 7.3% 4.6% 1.1% 0.0%
Sarah Fiske 3.8% 4.8% 5.5% 7.6% 8.5% 8.7% 9.1% 12.0% 14.9% 20.0% 4.9% 0.2%
Emily Billing 12.3% 11.5% 12.7% 10.4% 11.1% 11.1% 10.6% 8.3% 6.2% 5.0% 0.8% 0.0%
Paul Hildebrand 0.7% 0.3% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.7% 0.4% 1.3% 1.6% 4.3% 47.5% 41.3%
Tim Dexter 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 1.1% 1.4% 2.9% 33.8% 57.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.