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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.60+2.07vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.63+3.13vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.56+0.11vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.25+0.25vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois1.49-3.06vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.16-0.21vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-2.56+0.75vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-2.71-0.11vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-1.36-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07University of Saint Thomas0.600.2%1st Place
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5.13Marquette University-0.630.0%1st Place
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3.11Purdue University0.560.2%1st Place
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4.25Michigan State University-0.250.1%1st Place
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1.94University of Illinois1.490.5%1st Place
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5.79Hope College-1.160.0%1st Place
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7.75University of Notre Dame-2.560.0%1st Place
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7.89Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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6.07Grand Valley State University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bartel | 16.5% | 24.3% | 22.6% | 18.4% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Kozal | 3.8% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 16.0% | 19.6% | 22.1% | 14.8% | 6.9% | 1.8% |
| Odey Hariri | 16.5% | 23.6% | 22.4% | 17.4% | 12.4% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Monique | 7.8% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 18.9% | 20.3% | 14.7% | 9.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 48.4% | 25.9% | 14.2% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 15.4% | 20.0% | 23.7% | 14.3% | 3.6% |
| Marcelo Bernath Piccolotto | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 12.5% | 32.5% | 40.1% |
| Keegan Aerts | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 11.4% | 26.0% | 48.2% |
| Sarah Corder | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 20.4% | 24.8% | 17.7% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.