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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.56+2.10vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois1.49+0.10vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.63+2.03vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.25+0.26vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.60-1.97vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.16-0.24vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-2.56+0.78vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-2.71-0.11vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-1.36-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Purdue University0.560.2%1st Place
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2.1University of Illinois1.490.4%1st Place
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5.03Marquette University-0.630.0%1st Place
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4.26Michigan State University-0.250.1%1st Place
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3.03University of Saint Thomas0.600.2%1st Place
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5.76Hope College-1.160.0%1st Place
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7.78University of Notre Dame-2.560.0%1st Place
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7.89Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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6.06Grand Valley State University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odey Hariri | 18.3% | 20.9% | 24.0% | 17.0% | 11.7% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 41.0% | 28.1% | 16.9% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Kozal | 4.1% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 19.0% | 21.4% | 15.8% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Monique | 8.4% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 21.0% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 9.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Bartel | 20.4% | 23.0% | 21.3% | 15.9% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 22.0% | 24.0% | 13.2% | 3.6% |
| Marcelo Bernath Piccolotto | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 11.5% | 32.8% | 40.4% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 10.5% | 26.8% | 48.6% |
| Sarah Corder | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 24.7% | 18.3% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.